Análise e estudo da tendência dos preços indicativos do óleo bruto equatoriano West Texas Intermediate (WTI)
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Resumo
O principal objetivo deste documento é a análise histórica do preço do petróleo e propor um modelo técnico para a sua projeção. As séries históricas utilizadas vão de 1º de janeiro de 1980 até 2 de fevereiro de 2016 e no caso do intervalo de predição vão de 3 de fevereiro de 2016 a 1º de dezembro de 2029. O tamanho dos preços de mercado do petróleo pode variar de $ 20- $ 150 em comparação com os dados históricos de preços, tal evento ocorreu anteriormente e os preços futuros devem flutuar dentro desta faixa (tamanho do mercado de petróleo). Os preços do petróleo dependem de três fatores importantes: demanda global, desenvolvimento de novas energias e reservas globais. Os três fatores interagem diretamente com o preço do petróleo West Texas Intermediate (WTI) no mercado. A previsão propõe uma visão geral do mercado de petróleo do ponto de vista técnico, analítico e específico para o futuro; Conclusões e recomendações são propostas com referência ao desenvolvimento do mercado de petróleo no mundo e no Equador.
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